AUD/USD keeps the red below 0.6400 as Middle East war fears mount
AUD/USD is keeping heavy losses below 0.6400, as risk-aversion persists following the news that Israel retaliated with missile strikes on a site in Iran. Fears of the Israel-Iran strife translating into a wider regional conflict are weighing on the higher-yielding Aussie Dollar.
USD/JPY recovers above 154.00 despite Israel-Iran escalation
USD/JPY is recovering ground above 154.00 after falling hard on confirmation of reports of an Israeli missile strike on Iran, implying that an open conflict is underway and could only spread into a wider Middle East war. Safe-haven Japanese Yen jumped, helped by BoJ Governor Ueda's comments.
Gold price pares gains below $2,400, geopolitical risks lend support
Gold price is paring gains to trade back below $2,400 early Friday, Iran's downplaying of Israel's attack has paused the Gold price rally but the upside remains supported amid mounting fears over a potential wider Middle East regional conflict.
WTI surges to $85.00 amid Israel-Iran tensions
Western Texas Intermediate, the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $85.00 on Friday. The black gold gains traction on the day amid the escalating tension between Israel and Iran after a US official confirmed that Israeli missiles had hit a site in Iran.
Dogwifhat price pumps 5% ahead of possible Coinbase effect
Dogwifhat price recorded an uptick on Thursday, going as far as to outperform its peers in the meme coins space. Second only to Bonk Inu, WIF token’s show of strength was not just influenced by Bitcoin price reclaiming above $63,000.
DEEPER DIVE
Cyclical outlook: Known unknowns
In the US, the latest Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia paints a rather upbeat picture of the economic outlook. A similar survey of the ECB points towards a gradual pickup in growth this year.
Building the future
There is a construction boom underway that is quietly transforming the production capabilities and other aspects of the US economy. The fastest-growing category within nonresidential construction in recent years has been manufacturing.
Addressing the public debt challenge in the EU
Recently an agreement has been reached between representatives of the European Council, the European Parliament, and the European Commission on a new economic governance framework.
FXS Signals
Technical Confluences Detector
Gold: Middle East war fears spark fresh XAU/USD rally, will it sustain? Premium
Gold price is trading close to $2,400 early Friday, reversing from a fresh five-day high reached at $2,418 earlier in the Asian session. Despite the pullback, Gold price remains on track to book the fifth weekly gain in a row.
Israel-Iran escalation steals the show
The latest leg higher in Gold price was mainly driven by mounting fears over a widespread regional conflict in the Middle East after ABC News confirmed, citing a US official, that Israel fired missiles on Iran’s central city of Isfahan.
CRYPTOCURRENCIES
Dogwifhat price pumps 5% ahead of possible Coinbase effect
Dogwifhat (WIF) price recorded an uptick on Thursday, going as far as to outperform its peers in the meme coins space. Second only to Bonk Inu (BONK), WIF token’s show of strength was not just influenced by Bitcoin (BTC) price reclaiming above $63,000.
Runes likely to have massive support after BRC-20 and Ordinals frenzy
PUPS, WZRD, and PEPE are gaining liquidity through Bitcoin Ordinals. Creator of Bitcoin’s Ordinals protocol is debuting a new fungible token standard to rival BRC-20, Runes.
Ethereum shows firm support at key level as its correlation with US indices increase
Ethereum's price continued a sideways movement on Thursday as the market still awaits a trigger. Ethereum isn't alone in this horizontal trend; several major index funds have also traded sideways.
Mango Market attacker convicted of fraud and market manipulation
Mango Market attacker Avi Eisenberg was convicted by a federal jury on Thursday for "fraudulently obtaining" funds from the Solana-based decentralized exchange (DEX). He could face up to 20 years in prison for his role in the $110 million attack.
THE STOCK OF THE DAY
US stock markets bounce from our buy levels
Emini S&P June futures headed lower as predicted to my target & strong support at 5050/40. We made a low for the day exactly here as predicted. Emini Nasdaq if you were short on the break below 18,000 or managed to short on the bounce towards this level.
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
WEEKLY FORECAST
EUR/USD: The return of King Dollar Premium
The USD soared this week, sending EUR/USD to its lowest since November. Hotter-than-anticipated inflation in the United States (US) was the main reason behind the renewed strength of the USD, although it was not the only one.
GBP/USD: Pound Sterling extends losses on mounting geopolitical tensions, BoE-Fed divergence Premium
The Pound Sterling (GBP) resumed its downside against the US Dollar (USD), sending the GBP/USD pair to the lowest level in four months below 1.2500.
US Dollar: Touching five-month highs as Fed rate cuts are likely to be delayed again Premium
The Greenback advanced for the third consecutive session on Friday, taking the USD Index (DXY) just beyond the 106.00 barrier, an area last traded in early November.
Gold: XAU/USD pays no mind to USD rally, sets historic highs Premium
Gold price (XAU/USD) looked like it was on the verge of a deep correction on Wednesday but it gathered bullish momentum in the second half of the week, advancing to a fresh all-time high above $2,400.
Bitcoin: BTC’s rangebound movement leaves traders confused
Bitcoin (BTC) price has been hovering around the $70,000 psychological level for a few weeks, resulting in a rangebound movement. This development could lead to a massive liquidation on either side before a directional move is established.
Week ahead – More inflation data on the way as rate cut bets thrown into disarray
CPI numbers due in the UK, Japan, Canada and New Zealand. China to also come into the spotlight as Q1 GDP eyed. US retail sales to kickstart the week as earnings season gets underway.